Here is my exchange with a leading DNA expert! I had asked him if it was worth it for me to do the 111 DNA test.
Alan,
It was worth taking the 111 test for marker 525.
Marker 710 is one of
the fastest moving markers. we can't place much weight on it but what
little weight we can place on it supports you an kenny being closer than
wilbur. 504 is also a fast marker although not as fast as 710. Its
reading is usually either 17 or 18 which are the two readings here. So
it is difficult to interpret. It supports you and wilbur being closer
than Kenny
525 is a slow marker which is usually 10 or 11. 9 is
unusual and looks like a deletion. the most obvious conclusion is that
the Alan/Kenny line split from Wilbur when one brother deleted to 525=9
whilst the other brother wilburs ancestor remained unchanged on 10.
Later Kenny and Alan diverged with Kenny's line 504=17 Alan 504=18. Most
likely Kenny had a deletion but there are other explanations so it is
far from certain.
The alternatives to the 525 deletion to 9 are unlikely, they are:
You all had a common ancestor on 9 and wilbur has mutated back to 10 or
Your common ancestor was 10 and Alan and Kenny had parallel unrelated deletions on the same marker to 525=9
I would think of the two alternatives the first one has a 5% chance of
being true, the second one 1%. So it is a 94% probability that you and
Kenny are closer than Wilbur. Does that fit?
My reply to him.
Awesome David!
I think with all the research I have
done in trying to prove or disprove my relationship to Felix Albrecht,
along with 94% probability to being closer related to Kenny, a direct
descendent from Felix. In other words, circumstantially I had proven my
relationship to Felix, no other brother of his would make sense. The
DNA was going to be icing on the cake! If Wilbur would have had a better
marker match with Kenny it wouldn't have seemed logical to me.
So
my conclusion is that Felix Albrecht b-1734 and wife Anna Maria
Dorothea Segrist b-1747 are the parents of Jacob Albright the Gunsmith. I
will see if I can learn more about the death of Felix. He had been in
the Revolutionary War just a couple of years previous. Reports say he
was killed when he went off to fight the Indians. He would have been 45
or 46 years old and died without a will.
